Cardinals vs. Pirates Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, July 4, 2024

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The St. Louis Cardinals (44-41) are -109 favorites to take Game 3 of th series from the Pittsburgh Pirates (41-44) Thursday at 12:35 PM ET. The teams enter the matchup with the series record tied, and the underdog Pirates are listed with -108 odds to win the rubber match and take the series victory.

Andre Pallante will get the ball for St. Louis while Pittsburgh will counter with Martin Perez.

Cardinals vs. Pirates Odds

  • Cardinals odds to win: -109
  • Pirates odds to win: -108
  • Spread: Cardinals -1.5
  • Total: 9 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Thursday, July 4, 2024
  • Time: 12:35 PM ET
  • TV: BSMW
  • Who Will Win Cardinals vs. Pirates?

    Cardinals and Pirates Betting Trends

    The Cardinals have put together a 22-19 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 53.7% of those games).

    St. Louis has a record of 22-19 when playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -109 or shorter (53.7% winning percentage).

    The Pirates have been underdogs in 50 games this season and won 25 (50%) of those contests.

    Pittsburgh has a record of 23-23, a 50% win rate, when it’s set as an underdog of -108 or more by sportsbooks this season.

    The Cardinals have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 84 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 38 of those games (38-43-3).

    The Pirates and their opponents have hit the over in 40 of their 85 games with a total this season.

    Cardinals Stats & Insights

    The Cardinals have the No. 26 offense in baseball scoring four runs per game (339 total runs).

    St. Louis is 23rd in MLB play with 82 home runs. They average one per game.

    The Cardinals’ .239 batting average ranks 17th in MLB.

    St. Louis strikes out 8.5 times per game, the No. 18 mark in baseball.

    The Cardinals pitching staff ranks 21st in the majors with a collective 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings.

    St. Louis has the 12th-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (3.90).

    Pirates Stats & Insights

    The Pirates have scored 342 runs (four per game) this season, which ranks 25th in MLB.

    Pittsburgh ranks 25th in Major League Baseball with 81 home runs.

    The Pirates’ .229 batting average ranks 24th in the league this season.

    Pittsburgh ranks 27th in strikeouts per game (9.5) among MLB offenses.

    The Pirates average the 14th-most strikeouts per nine innings (8.6) in the majors this season.

    Pittsburgh pitchers have a combined ERA of 3.99 ERA this year, which ranks 14th in MLB.

    Cardinals Key Players to Watch

    Pallante (4-3) takes the mound for the Cardinals in his seventh start of the season. He has a 4.50 ERA in 38 2/3 innings pitched, with 31 strikeouts.

    Brendan Donovan leads St. Louis in runs batted in with 42 and has a batting average of .267.

    Alec Burleson has 76 hits and an OBP of .315 to go with a slugging percentage of .465 this season.

    Masyn Winn’s batting average of .293 leads all St. Louis hitters this season.

    Nolan Arenado is batting .252 with an OBP of .307 and a slugging percentage of .365 this season.

    Pirates Key Players to Watch

    The Pirates will send Perez (1-4) to the mound for his 13th start this season.

    Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates with 13 home runs and 47 runs batted in, while racking up a team-best batting average of .273.

    Connor Joe is batting .247 with 16 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 25 walks.

    Andrew McCutchen has eight doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 35 walks while batting .232.

    Oneil Cruz has 16 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 23 walks while batting .240.

    Cardinals and Pirates Injuries

    Cardinals: Iván Herrera: 10 Day IL (Back), Lars Nootbaar: 10 Day IL (Oblique), Nick Robertson: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Riley O’Brien: 60 Day IL (Forearm), Drew Rom: 60 Day IL (Biceps), Steven Matz: 60 Day IL (Back), Tommy Edman: 60 Day IL (Wrist), Keynan Middleton: 60 Day IL (Forearm)

    Pirates: David Bednar: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Jared Jones: 15 Day IL (Lat), Hunter Stratton: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Quinn Priester: 15 Day IL (Undisclosed), Marco Gonzales: 60 Day IL (Forearm), Ryan Borucki: 60 Day IL (Tricep), Dauri Moreta: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Johan Oviedo: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Endy Rodriguez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Henry Davis: 7 Day IL (Head)

    Cardinals vs. Pirates Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Pirates 6, Cardinals 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
  • How to Bet on Cardinals vs. Pirates

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