Lynx vs Sun: Best Bets, Player Props & Computer Picks – July 4

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Two of the WNBA’s top players will be on display when Napheesa Collier (20.6 points per game, fourth in league) and the Minnesota Lynx (14-5) welcome in DeWanna Bonner (16.2, 15th) and the Connecticut Sun (15-4) on Thursday, July 4, 2024 at 8:00 PM ET.

Our computer predictions in this article will help you pick what are the best bets available for Thursday’s game.

Pick the Lynx (-3.5) to Cover

  • The Lynx have registered a 13-6-0 record against the spread this season.
  • The Sun have covered the spread eight times in 19 games with a set spread.
  • In games they have played as 3.5-point favorites or more, the Lynx have an ATS record of 6-4.
  • The Sun have yet to cover the spread when they are at least 3.5-point underdogs (0-1).
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    Take the Over (150.5)

  • The Lynx and their opponents have scored more than 150.5 points in 12 of 19 games this season.
  • The Sun have played 13 games this season that finished with a point total over 150.5 points.
  • These two teams score 162.9 points per game combined, 12.4 more than this game’s over/under.
  • Opponents of these teams combine to score 147.5 points per game, three fewer points than this contest’s over/under.
  • The average point total in Lynx outings this year is 163.9, 13.4 more than this matchup’s over/under.
  • The Sun have a 158.4-point average over/under in their contests this season, 7.9 more points than this game’s total.
  • Back the Lynx on the Moneyline (-155)

  • The Lynx have won eight of the 10 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (80%).
  • The Sun have been listed as the underdog three times this season and have failed to win any of those games.
  • In games they have played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -155 or shorter, the Lynx have an 8-2 record (winning 80% of their games).
  • The Sun have played as an underdog of +125 or more once this season and lost that game.
  • Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Lynx have an implied win probability of 60.8%.
  • The Sun have a 44.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Top Lynx Props

    Name Points O/U Rebounds O/U Assists O/U
    Napheesa Collier 19.5 9.5 3.5
    Kayla McBride 14.5 3.5
    Alanna Smith 10.5 4.5
    Courtney Williams 4.5 4.5

    Top Sun Props

    Name Points O/U Rebounds O/U Assists O/U
    DeWanna Bonner 15.5 6.5
    DiJonai Carrington 13.5 4.5
    Brionna Jones 13.5 5.5
    Alyssa Thomas 11.5 9.5 6.5
    Tyasha Harris 9.5
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