Two of the WNBA’s top players will be on display when Napheesa Collier (20.6 points per game, fourth in league) and the Minnesota Lynx (14-5) welcome in DeWanna Bonner (16.2, 15th) and the Connecticut Sun (15-4) on Thursday, July 4, 2024 at 8:00 PM ET.
Our computer predictions in this article will help you pick what are the best bets available for Thursday’s game.
Pick the Lynx (-3.5) to Cover
The Lynx have registered a 13-6-0 record against the spread this season.
The Sun have covered the spread eight times in 19 games with a set spread.
In games they have played as 3.5-point favorites or more, the Lynx have an ATS record of 6-4.
The Sun have yet to cover the spread when they are at least 3.5-point underdogs (0-1).
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Take the Over (150.5)
The Lynx and their opponents have scored more than 150.5 points in 12 of 19 games this season.
The Sun have played 13 games this season that finished with a point total over 150.5 points.
These two teams score 162.9 points per game combined, 12.4 more than this game’s over/under.
Opponents of these teams combine to score 147.5 points per game, three fewer points than this contest’s over/under.
The average point total in Lynx outings this year is 163.9, 13.4 more than this matchup’s over/under.
The Sun have a 158.4-point average over/under in their contests this season, 7.9 more points than this game’s total.
Back the Lynx on the Moneyline (-155)
The Lynx have won eight of the 10 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (80%).
The Sun have been listed as the underdog three times this season and have failed to win any of those games.
In games they have played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -155 or shorter, the Lynx have an 8-2 record (winning 80% of their games).
The Sun have played as an underdog of +125 or more once this season and lost that game.
Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Lynx have an implied win probability of 60.8%.
The Sun have a 44.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
Top Lynx Props
Name |
Points O/U |
Rebounds O/U |
Assists O/U |
Napheesa Collier |
19.5 |
9.5 |
3.5 |
Kayla McBride |
14.5 |
– |
3.5 |
Alanna Smith |
10.5 |
4.5 |
– |
Courtney Williams |
|
4.5 |
4.5 |
Top Sun Props
Name |
Points O/U |
Rebounds O/U |
Assists O/U |
DeWanna Bonner |
15.5 |
6.5 |
– |
DiJonai Carrington |
13.5 |
4.5 |
– |
Brionna Jones |
13.5 |
5.5 |
– |
Alyssa Thomas |
11.5 |
9.5 |
6.5 |
Tyasha Harris |
9.5 |
– |
– |
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Our Review
21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. CO, DC, IL, IN, LA, MD, MS, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY. Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA). 21+ to wager. Please Gamble Responsibly. Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS, NV), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-270-7117 for confidential help (MI). Visit BetMGM.com for Terms & Conditions. US promotional offers not available in DC, Kansas, Nevada, New York or Ontario.