Mets vs. Nationals Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, July 4, 2024

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The Washington Nationals (40-46) will lean on Luis Garcia, following a two-homer game, to lead them in a matchup with the New York Mets (42-42) on Thursday at 11:05 AM ET on MLB Network. The Nationals are -103 underdogs for the contest, according to oddsmakers.

Jose Quintana starts for New York while Jake Irvin is Washington’s starter for the contest.

Mets vs. Nationals Odds

  • Mets odds to win: -114
  • Nationals odds to win: -103
  • Spread: Mets -1.5
  • Total: 9 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Thursday, July 4, 2024
  • Time: 11:05 AM ET
  • TV: MLB Network
  • Who Will Win Mets vs. Nationals?

    Mets and Nationals Betting Trends

    The Mets have put together a 23-22 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 51.1% of those games).

    In games it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -114 or shorter, New York has gone 20-19 (51.3%).

    The Nationals have entered the game as underdogs 71 times this season and won 32, or 45.1%, of those games.

    This season, Washington has won 31 of its 70 games, or 44.3%, when it’s the underdog by at least -103 on the moneyline.

    The Mets have played in 84 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 45 times (45-36-3).

    The Nationals and their opponents have hit the over in 40 of their 86 games with a total this season.

    Mets Stats & Insights

    The Mets score the eighth-most runs in baseball (414 total, 4.9 per game).

    New York averages 1.3 home runs per game to rank fourth in baseball with 109 total home runs.

    The Mets rank ninth in the majors with a .249 batting average.

    New York’s batters strike out eight times per game, the ninth-lowest average in the majors.

    The 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings compiled by the Mets pitching staff ranks eighth in the majors.

    New York’s 4.17 team ERA ranks 21st among all MLB pitching staffs.

    Nationals Stats & Insights

    The Nationals rank 19th in the majors with 357 total runs scored this season.

    Washington ranks 29th in Major League Baseball with just 70 home runs as a team.

    The Nationals rank 20th in MLB with a .236 team batting average.

    Washington ranks sixth in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 7.7 Ks per contest.

    The Nationals strike out 8.3 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 22nd in MLB.

    Washington pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.04 ERA this year, which ranks 16th in MLB.

    Mets Key Players to Watch

    Quintana (3-5) takes the mound for the Mets in his 17th start of the season. He has a 4.57 ERA in 82 2/3 innings pitched, with 65 strikeouts.

    Francisco Lindor has been key for New York with 15 home runs, 43 RBI and a batting average of .249 this season.

    Pete Alonso leads New York in home runs with 18 while driving in 48 runs and slugging .472.

    Brandon Nimmo is among the top hitters for New York with a .248 average, 13 homers and 52 RBI.

    Harrison Bader is batting .270 with an OBP of .316 and a slugging percentage of .408 this season.

    Nationals Key Players to Watch

    Irvin (6-6) will take the mound for the Nationals, his 18th start of the season.

    C.J. Abrams leads the Nationals in home runs (13), runs batted in (43) and has racked up a team-best batting average of .283.

    Jesse Winker is hitting .264 with 13 doubles, nine home runs and 43 walks.

    Garcia is batting .261 with 14 doubles, nine home runs and 13 walks.

    Lane Thomas has nine doubles, three triples, eight home runs and 20 walks while batting .235.

    Mets and Nationals Injuries

    Mets: Starling Marte: 10 Day IL (Knee), Sean Reid-Foley: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Drew Smith: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Brooks Raley: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Shintaro Fujinami: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Ronny Mauricio: 60 Day IL (Knee), Kodai Senga: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

    Nationals: Joey Gallo: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Trevor Williams: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Josiah Gray: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Mason Thompson: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Cade Cavalli: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Jose Ferrer: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

    Mets vs. Nationals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Nationals 5, Mets 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
  • How to Bet on Mets vs. Nationals

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