Phillies vs. Cubs Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, July 4, 2024

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The Chicago Cubs (39-48) hope to avoid their fourth straight defeat when they host the Philadelphia Phillies (57-29) Thursday at 2:20 PM ET on MLB Network. The Phillies are listed as -114 favorites, while the Cubs are -104 underdogs as they try to snap their losing skid.

Philadelphia’s Cristopher Sanchez and Chicago’s Jameson Taillon have been named the starters for this contest.

Phillies vs. Cubs Odds

  • Phillies odds to win: -114
  • Cubs odds to win: -104
  • Spread: Phillies -1.5
  • Total: 7.5 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Thursday, July 4, 2024
  • Time: 2:20 PM ET
  • TV: MLB Network
  • Who Will Win Phillies vs. Cubs?

    Phillies and Cubs Betting Trends

    The Phillies have been the moneyline favorite 73 total times this season. They’ve finished 50-23 in those games.

    When playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -114 or shorter, Philadelphia has a 48-22 record (winning 68.6% of its games).

    The Cubs have won 19, or 41.3%, of the 46 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

    Chicago is 16-23 this season when entering a game as the underdog by -104 or more on the moneyline.

    The Phillies have combined with opponents to go over the total 38 times this season for a 38-43-5 record against the over/under.

    The Cubs’ games have gone over the total in 38 of their 87 chances.

    Phillies Stats & Insights

    The Phillies score the fourth-most runs in baseball (431 total, five per game).

    Philadelphia averages 1.2 home runs per game to rank fifth in MLB play with 103 total home runs.

    The Phillies have the third-best batting average in the league (.259).

    Philadelphia’s 8.4 strikeouts per game rank 17th in the majors.

    The Phillies pitching staff ranks fourth in the majors with a collective nine strikeouts per nine innings.

    Philadelphia has a 3.09 team ERA that ranks first among all MLB pitching staffs.

    Cubs Stats & Insights

    The Cubs rank 20th in the majors with 354 total runs scored this season.

    Chicago’s 83 home runs rank 20th in Major League Baseball.

    The Cubs rank 25th in MLB with a .228 team batting average.

    Chicago ranks 25th with an average of nine strikeouts per game.

    The Cubs average 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, third-most in the majors.

    Chicago pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.01 ERA this year, which ranks 15th in MLB.

    Phillies Key Players to Watch

    Sanchez gets the start for the Phillies, his 17th of the season. He is 6-3 with a 2.41 ERA and 79 strikeouts through 93 1/3 innings pitched.

    Alec Bohm leads Philadelphia in runs batted in with 70 and has a batting average of .299.

    Bryson Stott has collected 65 hits this season and has an OBP of .334. He’s slugging .358 on the year.

    Nicholas Castellanos has collected 77 base hits, an OBP of .291 and a slugging percentage of .384 this season.

    Trea Turner has 68 hits and an OBP of .388 to go with a slugging percentage of .487 this season.

    Cubs Key Players to Watch

    The Cubs will send Taillon (4-4) to the mound for his 14th start this season.

    Cody Bellinger paces the Cubs with a .274 batting average.

    Ian Happ has 19 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 46 walks while batting .227.

    Nico Hoerner is batting .241 with 14 doubles, a triple, four home runs and 29 walks.

    Christopher Morel’s 15 home runs and 45 RBI both pace his team.

    Phillies and Cubs Injuries

    Phillies: Bryce Harper: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), J.T. Realmuto: 10 Day IL (Knee), Kyle Schwarber: 10 Day IL (Groin), Spencer Turnbull: 15 Day IL (Back), Taijuan Walker: 15 Day IL (Index finger), Luis Ortiz: 15 Day IL (Ankle), Dylan Covey: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Michael Rucker: 60 Day IL (Hand)

    Cubs: Mike Tauchman: 10 Day IL (Groin), Jordan Wicks: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Mark Leiter Jr.: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Ben Brown: 15 Day IL (Neck), Keegan Thompson: 15 Day IL (Rib), Javier Assad: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Daniel Palencia: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Julian Merryweather: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Yency Almonte: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Caleb Kilian: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Adbert Alzolay: 60 Day IL (Forearm)

    Phillies vs. Cubs Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Cubs 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
  • How to Bet on Phillies vs. Cubs

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