Rangers vs. Padres Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, July 4, 2024

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The Texas Rangers (39-47) and the San Diego Padres (47-43) meet in the rubber match of a three-game series on Thursday at 2:35 PM ET. The Rangers are -160 favorites on the moneyline to win the series over the Padres (+136).

Max Scherzer will get the ball for Texas while San Diego will counter with Michael King.

Rangers vs. Padres Odds

  • Rangers odds to win: -160
  • Padres odds to win: +136
  • Spread: Rangers -1.5
  • Total: 9 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Thursday, July 4, 2024
  • Time: 2:35 PM ET
  • TV: SDPA
  • Who Will Win Rangers vs. Padres?

    Rangers and Padres Betting Trends

    The Rangers have won 22 of the 43 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (51.2%).

    Texas has gone 6-6 (winning 50% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -160 or shorter.

    The Padres have entered the game as underdogs 37 times this season and won 19, or 51.4%, of those games.

    San Diego has a record of 6-7, a 46.2% win rate, when it’s set as an underdog of +136 or more by oddsmakers this season.

    The Rangers have combined with opponents to go over the total 33 times this season for a 33-49-3 record against the over/under.

    The Padres and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 48 of their 90 opportunities.

    Rangers Stats & Insights

    The Rangers rank 15th in runs scored with 368, 4.3 per game.

    Texas is 15th in MLB action with 88 home runs. They average one per game.

    The Rangers are 17th in MLB with a .239 batting average.

    Texas strikes out 7.7 times per game, the sixth-best average in MLB.

    The 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings put together by the Rangers pitching staff ranks 14th in MLB.

    Texas has the 19th-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (4.09).

    Padres Stats & Insights

    The Padres have scored the sixth-most runs in the league this season with 418.

    San Diego ranks ninth in Major League Baseball with 100 home runs.

    The Padres have a team batting average of .262 this season, which ranks second among MLB teams.

    San Diego has shown good bat-to-ball skills at the plate this season with the second-best strikeout rate (6.8 per game) among MLB offenses.

    The Padres have an 8.9 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, sixth-best in baseball.

    San Diego has pitched to a 4.08 ERA this season, which ranks 18th in baseball.

    Rangers Key Players to Watch

    Scherzer (1-1) pitches for the Rangers to make his third start of the season.

    Marcus Semien is batting .231 for Texas with a team-high 45 RBI.

    Corey Seager has collected 72 hits this season and has an OBP of .344. He’s slugging .451 on the year.

    Josh Smith leads Texas with a .290 batting average while slugging seven homers and driving in 34 runs.

    Adolis Garcia leads Texas in home runs with 16 while driving in 44 runs and slugging .427.

    Padres Key Players to Watch

    The Padres will hand the ball to King (6-5) for his 18th start of the season.

    Jurickson Profar has a team-best batting average of .314 while leading the Padres in runs batted in (55).

    Jake Cronenworth is batting .260 with 18 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 27 walks.

    Ha-Seong Kim is hitting .227 with 10 doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 47 walks.

    Luis Arraez has 16 doubles, two triples, two home runs and 15 walks while batting .310.

    Rangers and Padres Injuries

    Rangers: Evan Carter: 10 Day IL (Lumbar), Josh Sborz: 15 Day IL (Rotator cuff), Jacob deGrom: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Tyler Mahle: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Joshua Jung: 60 Day IL (Wrist), Carson Coleman: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Austin Pruitt: 60 Day IL (Knee), Cody Bradford: 60 Day IL (Back), Cole Winn: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

    Padres: Xander Bogaerts: 10 Day IL (Shoulder), Fernando Tatis Jr.: 10 Day IL (Quadricep), Luis Campusano: 10 Day IL (Thumb), Glenn Otto: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Yu Darvish: 15 Day IL (Groin), Tom Cosgrove: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Joe Musgrove: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Luis Patiño: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Rangers vs. Padres Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Rangers 4, Padres 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
  • How to Bet on Rangers vs. Padres

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