Rays vs. Royals Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, July 4, 2024

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The Tampa Bay Rays (43-43) and the Kansas City Royals (48-40) meet in the rubber match of a three-game series on Thursday at 8:10 PM ET. The Rays are -112 favorites on the moneyline to win the series over the Royals (-106).

Zach Eflin will get the ball for Tampa Bay while Kansas City will counter with Alec Marsh.

Rays vs. Royals Odds

  • Rays odds to win: -112
  • Royals odds to win: -106
  • Spread: Rays -1.5
  • Total: 8.5 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Thursday, July 4, 2024
  • Time: 8:10 PM ET
  • TV: BSSUN
  • Who Will Win Rays vs. Royals?

    Rays and Royals Betting Trends

    The Rays have won 52.1% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (25-23).

    Tampa Bay has gone 24-20 (winning 54.5% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -112 or shorter.

    The Royals have won 24, or 47.1%, of the 51 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

    Kansas City has entered 47 games this season as the underdog by -106 or more and is 21-26 in those contests.

    The Rays have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 86 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 42 of those games (42-40-4).

    Games involving the Royals have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 36 of 88 chances this season.

    Rays Stats & Insights

    The Rays rank 24th in runs scored with 344, four per game.

    Tampa Bay has hit the fourth-fewest home runs in MLB action this season (78).

    The Rays rank 20th in MLB with a .235 batting average.

    Tampa Bay’s nine strikeouts per game rank 24th in MLB.

    The Rays pitching staff ranks ninth in the majors with a collective 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings.

    Tampa Bay has the 22nd-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (4.26).

    Royals Stats & Insights

    The Royals have scored 397 runs (4.5 per game) this season, which ranks 13th in MLB.

    Kansas City’s 87 home runs rank 17th in Major League Baseball.

    The Royals have a team batting average of .244 this season, which ranks 14th among MLB teams.

    Kansas City has shown good bat-to-ball skills at the plate this season with the third-best strikeout rate (seven per game) among MLB offenses.

    The Royals strike out 8.2 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 24th in MLB.

    Kansas City pitchers have a combined ERA of 3.76 ERA this year, 10th-best in baseball.

    Rays Key Players to Watch

    The Rays are sending Eflin (4-5) to the mound to make his 16th start of the season. He is 4-5 with a 3.92 ERA and 69 strikeouts through 87 1/3 innings pitched.

    Isaac Paredes leads Tampa Bay in batting average (.276), home runs (14) and runs batted in (46) this season.

    Yandy Diaz has collected 92 hits this season and has an OBP of .324. He’s slugging .380 on the year.

    Randy Arozarena is slashing .197/.305/.355 this season for the Rays.

    Jose Caballero has 58 hits and an OBP of .305 to go with a slugging percentage of .364 this season.

    Royals Key Players to Watch

    The Royals will send Marsh (6-5) to the mound for his 16th start this season.

    Bobby Witt Jr. has racked up a team-high batting average of .314 and leads the Royals in runs batted in (56).

    Vinnie Pasquantino has made the most of his opportunities as he leads his team with 56 runs batted in.

    Maikel Garcia is batting .227 with 15 doubles, four triples, five home runs and 27 walks.

    Salvador Perez has hit 14 home runs to lead his team.

    Rays and Royals Injuries

    Rays: Richard Lovelady: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Drew Rasmussen: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Shane McClanahan: 60 Day IL (Forearm), Jacob Waguespack: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Jeffrey Springs: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Royals: Dan Altavilla: 10 Day IL (Oblique), Adam Frazier: 10 Day IL (Thumb), Josh Taylor: 60 Day IL (Biceps), Kris Bubic: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Kyle Wright: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

    Rays vs. Royals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Royals 5, Rays 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
  • How to Bet on Rays vs. Royals

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