NEWSLETTER
The Boston Red Sox (46-39) will put their three-game win streak to the test when they visit the Miami Marlins (30-56) Thursday at 1:10 PM ET on BSFL. Bookmakers consider the Red Sox -153 favorites to extend their streak, while the Marlins are +131 underdogs looking for the upset.
Boston’s Nick Pivetta and Miami’s Kyle Tyler have been named the starters for this contest.
Red Sox vs. Marlins Odds
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Who Will Win Red Sox vs. Marlins?
Red Sox and Marlins Betting Trends
The Red Sox have gone 25-18 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 58.1% of those games).
Boston has a record of 8-5 when playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -153 or shorter (61.5% winning percentage).
The Marlins have won 27, or 38%, of the 71 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
This season, Miami has won 12 of its 36 games, or 33.3%, when it’s the underdog by at least +131 on the moneyline.
The Red Sox have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 85 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 41 of those games (41-39-5).
The Marlins and their opponents have hit the over in 45 of their 86 games with a total this season.
Red Sox Stats & Insights
The Red Sox are the 13th-highest scoring team in MLB play averaging 4.7 runs per game (396 total).
Boston ranks 11th in MLB with 96 total home runs.
The Red Sox’s .254 batting average is sixth-best in the majors.
Boston’s 9.5 strikeouts per game are the fifth-most in the majors.
The pitching staff for the Red Sox has a collective 8.7 K/9, the eighth-best in the majors.
Boston’s 3.59 team ERA ranks seventh across all MLB pitching staffs.
Marlins Stats & Insights
The Marlins are among the lowest scoring teams in the league, ranking 29th with just 298 total runs (3.5 per game) this season.
Miami’s 68 home runs rank last in MLB this season.
The Marlins have a team batting average of .231 this season, which ranks 23rd among MLB teams.
Miami ranks 12th in strikeouts per game (8.1) among MLB offenses.
The Marlins have an 8.2 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 23rd in the big leagues.
Miami pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.61 ERA this year, which ranks 27th in MLB.
Red Sox Key Players to Watch
Pivetta (4-5) takes the mound for the Red Sox in his 13th start of the season. He has a 4.52 ERA in 61 2/3 innings pitched, with 68 strikeouts.
Jarren Duran has been key for Boston with 10 home runs, 40 RBI and a batting average of .285 this season.
Rafael Devers is batting .291 with 18 home runs and 49 RBI, all three of which lead Boston this season.
Ceddanne Rafaela has 71 hits this season and a slash line of .243/.270/.404.
Tyler O’Neill has 57 hits and an OBP of .357 to go with a slugging percentage of .528 this season.
Marlins Key Players to Watch
Tyler will take to the mound for the Marlins, his third start of the season.
Jazz Chisholm leads the Marlins with a .259 batting average.
Bryan De La Cruz has hit 15 home runs with 40 RBI. Both lead his team.
Josh Bell is hitting .236 with 15 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 24 walks.
Jesus Sanchez is hitting .240 with 10 doubles, eight home runs and 15 walks.
Red Sox and Marlins Injuries
Red Sox: Vaughn Grissom: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Bryan Mata: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Lucas Giolito: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Chris Murphy: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Triston Casas: 60 Day IL (Rib), Liam Hendriks: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Garrett Whitlock: 60 Day IL (Oblique), Trevor Story: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)
Marlins: Otto Lopez: 10 Day IL (Back), Ryan Weathers: 15 Day IL (Finger), Braxton Garrett: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Bryan Hoeing: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Sandy Alcantara: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Josh Simpson: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Sixto Sanchez: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Edward Cabrera: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Jesús Luzardo: 60 Day IL (Back), Eury Pérez: 60 Day IL (Elbow)
Red Sox vs. Marlins Prediction
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