NEWSLETTER
The Detroit Tigers (39-47) will look to Carson Kelly, with homers in two straight games, to pull off an upset win over the Minnesota Twins (48-38) Thursday at Target Field. The Twins are -169 moneyline favorites for the game, which starts at 1:10 PM ET live on BSN.
Bailey Ober will get the ball for Minnesota while Detroit will counter with Kenta Maeda.
Twins vs. Tigers Odds
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Who Will Win Twins vs. Tigers?
Twins and Tigers Betting Trends
The Twins have been favored on the moneyline 60 total times this season. They’ve finished 39-21 in those games.
Minnesota has a record of 19-6 when playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -169 or shorter (76% winning percentage).
The Tigers have won 20, or 41.7%, of the 48 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
This season, Detroit has won one of its four games when it’s the underdog by at least +143 on the moneyline.
In the 86 games in which oddsmakers have set an over/under for the Twins, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 42 times (42-42-2).
Games involving the Tigers have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 46 of 86 chances this season.
Twins Stats & Insights
The Twins are the ninth-highest scoring team in the majors, averaging 4.8 runs per game (411 total).
Minnesota is sixth-best in MLB play with 102 total home runs.
The Twins have the 11th-ranked batting average in the league (.248).
Minnesota’s hitters strike out eight times per game, the 10th-fewest strikeouts in baseball.
The pitching staff for the Twins has a collective 9.2 K/9 to pace the majors.
Minnesota has the 20th-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (4.14).
Tigers Stats & Insights
The Tigers rank 21st in the majors with 353 total runs scored this season.
Detroit’s 82 home runs rank 23rd in Major League Baseball.
The Tigers have a team batting average of .228 this season, which ranks 25th among MLB teams.
Detroit ranks 20th with an average of 8.7 strikeouts per game.
The Tigers strike out 8.7 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, eighth-best in MLB.
Detroit pitchers have a combined ERA of 3.92 ERA this year, which ranks 13th in MLB.
Twins Key Players to Watch
Ober gets the start for the Twins, his 17th of the season. He is 7-4 with a 4.30 ERA and 92 strikeouts in 88 2/3 innings pitched.
Carlos Correa leads Minnesota with a batting average of .310. He’s also hit 10 home runs with 41 RBI.
Carlos Santana is batting .247 with an OBP of .325 and a slugging percentage of .430 this season.
Willi Castro is slashing .274/.361/.448 this season for the Twins.
Jose Miranda has collected 68 hits this season and has an OBP of .341. He’s slugging .480 on the year.
Tigers Key Players to Watch
Maeda (2-4) will take to the mound for the Tigers and make his 15th start of the season.
Riley Greene leads the Tigers in home runs (16), runs batted in (43) and has a team-high batting average of .260.
Matthew Vierling is batting .249 with 10 doubles, five triples, 11 home runs and 13 walks.
Mark Canha is batting .224 with 13 doubles, six home runs and 35 walks.
Wenceel Perez has 11 doubles, five triples, four home runs and 19 walks while hitting .260.
Twins and Tigers Injuries
Twins: Alex Kirilloff: 10 Day IL (Back), Royce Lewis: 10 Day IL (Abductor), Chris Paddack: 15 Day IL (Arm), Anthony DeSclafani: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Brock Stewart: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Justin Topa: 60 Day IL (Knee), Zack Weiss: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Daniel Duarte: 60 Day IL (Tricep)
Tigers: Javier Báez: 10 Day IL (Spine), Kerry Carpenter: 10 Day IL (Spine), Casey Mize: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Sawyer Gipson-Long: 60 Day IL (Groin)
Twins vs. Tigers Prediction
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